Why Foreclosures Won’t Crush the Housing Market Next Year

With the strength of the current housing market growing every day and more Americans returning to work, a faster-than-expected recovery in the housing sector is already well underway. Regardless, many are still asking the question: will we see a wave of foreclosures as a result of the current crisis?

Thankfully, research shows the number of foreclosures is expected to be much lower than what this country experienced during the last recession.

The number of those in active forbearance has been leveling-off over the past month. Of  the original 4,208,000 families granted forbearance, only 2,588,000 of these homeowners got an extension. Many homeowners have once again started to pay their mortgages, paid off their homes, or never went delinquent on their payments in the first place. They may have applied for forbearance out of precaution, but never fully acted on it.

The housing market, and homeowners, therefore, are in a much better position than many may think. Much of that has to do with the fact that today’s homeowners have more equity than most realize.

Equity is growing, jobs are returning, and the economy is slowly recovering, so the perfect storm for a wave of foreclosures is not realistically in the housing market forecast.

While our hearts are with anyone who may end up in foreclosure as a result of this crisis, we do know that today’s homeowners have more options than they did 10 years ago. For some, it may mean selling their house and downsizing with that equity, which is a far better outcome than foreclosure.

Homeowners today have many options to avoid foreclosure, and equity is surely helping to keep many afloat. Even if today’s rate of foreclosures doubles, it will still only hit a mark that is more in line with a historically normalized range, a very good sign for homeowners and the housing market.


Three of the Latest Reports Show Housing Market Is Strong

Three of the Latest Reports Show Housing Market Is Strong

The residential real estate market is remaining resilient as the country still struggles to beat the COVID-19 pandemic. Three separate reports recently revealed how the housing market is still showing growth. Here’s a look at each one.

  1. Ivy Zelman’s Real Estate Broker Survey

The survey explains that purchaser demand remains strong:

“This month’s overall homebuyer demand rating…was easily the strongest sequential gain in our survey history…Strength continues to be led by the entry-level…While high-end demand is less robust in an absolute sense, there has also been relative improvement, with contacts attributing incremental improvement to the stock market’s rebound, record low mortgage rates and luxury customers trading out of high-priced cities.”

  1. The National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index

The index reveals that builder confidence has returned to levels last seen prior to the pandemic:

“In a strong signal that the housing market is ready to lead a post-COVID economic recovery, builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes jumped 14 points to 72 in July, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). The HMI now stands at the solid pre-pandemic reading in March before the outbreak affected much of the nation.”

  1. The realtor.com Housing Market Recovery Index

This index leverages a weighted average of four key components of the housing industry, tracking each of the following:

Housing Demand – Growth in online search activity

Home Price – Growth in asking prices

Housing Supply – Growth of new listings

Pace of Sales – Difference in time-on-market

It then compares the current status “to the last week of January 2020 market trend, as a baseline for pre-COVID market growth. The overall index is set to 100 in this baseline period. The higher a market’s index value, the higher its recovery and vice versa.”

The latest results came in at 101, with realtor.com explaining: “The U.S. Housing Market has recovered from the immediate disruption caused by the COVID pandemic and returned to January 2020 growth levels.”


Bottom Line

Real estate brokers, home builders, and industry data all agree that the housing market has surged back to pre-COVID levels, showing growth, strength, and incredible resilience.


Leisure Village Annual Pass Changes

Annual Pass System Changed for LV’s Safety and Health
LV’s familiar annual passes that enabled relatives and friends of residents and contractors to enter through entrance gates will become useless relics next month. A new computer-centered system will replace them on September 1.  Driven by health concerns surrounding Covid-19, annual passes will reside in an online file accessed only by LV’s Security Staff when a driver at a gate shows a valid driver’s license.  No more paper permits on the dash or in hand; that license must match with the onscreen information.
LVA wants to prevent residents, business people, and staff from the potential danger of physically handling paper forms. Applications can be picked up at the Main gate now and dropped off in a box at the Main Gate, where questions can be answered without personal contact. “This is safer for everyone,” explains Officer Danny Camacho. “And it will increase our security. It will stop people from trading or sharing passes or from driving in without a license.”
More than 3000 paper passes were issued last year. Sgt. Camacho acknowledges it could be more time consuming as the officers log into the computer to check identification. “But if the driver has his license ready, it will be quick,” he adds, particularly as LV’s officers become familiar with the system. There will be no public access to that computer file.
Applications are available now at the Main Gate. They are also available online at www.leisurevillage.org, click on forms. The new Annual Pass System will go into effect on Tuesday, September 1.